Will Stablecoins Hit $2 Trillion? Inside US Treasury’s Bold 10x Projection

Crypto enthusiasts could very well remember how, only a fortnight ago, the approved bank provided that the Stablescoin market would see unprecedented growth in the coming years to reach 2 dollars against the current capitalization of $ 230 billion.
Although he was able to resemble an estimate of wishes by a private bank at the time, now the US Treasury also supported these projections.
Stablecoins to reach 2 dollars of dollars by 2028
In a presentation Released on April 30, the American Treasury Department cited the Standard Study Charter. Reiterating the projections, the Treasury Department suggested that the supply of sustained stables of a dollar could inflate around $ 240 billion today to almost 2 dollars by 2028.
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies set at one for a fiduciary money (usually the dollar). While the warmer cryptography assets such as Bitcoin, XRP and Solana most often fly the spotlight, the stablecoins have actually developed quietly, and yet quickly. As of May 1, their total market capitalization increased to around $ 242 billion, up approximately 45 times since 2019, according to the open-source platform Defillama.
Explosive projections, if they become true, would likely require 1.6 billion of additional dollars to be kept in reserve by stablecoin issuers. Part of the presentation of the Treasury notes that the wider use of the stable reserve could lead to “non -USD liquidity holdings in the USD”, probably reinforcing the domination of the greenback.
But could stablecoins really become a decisive force in American budgetary and monetary infrastructure? This would mean that they influence monetary policy, public debt, payment cases and the global role of the dollar. However, emerging global initiatives such as the Chinese digital yuan and India digital curly can offer some competition.
Can Stablecoins see a wider adoption?
Stablecoins are mainly used as commercial vehicles on cryptocurrency exchanges, as proxys for dollars in digital finance, and more and more for funding of funds and cross-border transfers. Large payment companies and banks have taken note: for example, Visa announced in April 2025 that it will issue cards related to stablecoin sales in Latin America, allowing consumers to pay merchants from cryptographic wallets.
Industry giants such as Paypal, Stripe and Standard Charterd began to explore Stablecoin's services, suggesting growing adoption beyond crypto lovers.
Despite explosive growth, these cryptographic assets continue to stay niche. PEGGED USD tokens like TETHER (USDT) and Circle USDC continue to maintain almost 90% of market capitalization. They remain not tested on a large scale in daily finances. When markets panic, races can occur, as happened with Terrausd in May 2022.
In addition, regulators continue to prevent the risks of illicit funding and investors. The Treasury Department also has declared That stablecoins “raise political concerns” concerning crime and systemic stability, and today they operate under an “inconsistent and fragmented surveillance”.
The government would be very close to the adoption of a bipartite bill for differences which would impose requirements in terms of capital, liquidity and test. The American Senate will probably vote on the so-called Genius Act or the Stable bill before May 26.
A forecast of $ 2 billions – which is behind
The projections of $ 2 billions by 2028 assume that new legislation and wide adoption would turns growth. Essentially, forecasts are considering stablescoins attracting investments and transactions at a rate of 7 to 10 times today.
Drivers would include the congress for the formalization of stablecoin rules, banks and fintechs integrating them, issuers exploring the “interest” models and the growth of payments and retail.
If the stablecoins reach the projected levels, the banking sector could feel heat. Treasury analysis warns that in a boom in Stablescoin, “banks may be necessary to increase interest rates to maintain financing” as deposits migrate in digital tokens. This could increase the cost of banking funds and wave thanks to loan rates.
However, the skeptics point out that projection assumes an unstopable growth. The realization of 2 dollars of dollars would add about $ 450 billion per year, a much more steep adoption curve compared to recent experience. Critics also note that the forecasts of digital currencies shifting the cash “within five years” have been carried out several times in the past. However, progress has often been much more progressive.
Meanwhile, analysts provide that the XRP price could see a massive rise in trend if Ripple's Stablecoin Rlusd wins the adoption and captures 50% of the reserve market for 2 billions by 2028.
Although the vision of a stablecoin sector of $ 2 billions by 2028 is bold, global expert organizations like the IMF warn that stablecoins could destabilize emerging savings. So far, market growth has been motivated by trading and innovation of cryptography rather than the use of mass retail sales. What the future reserves for Stablecoins, only time will tell us!
Warning: The content presented may include the author's personal opinion and is subject to the market state. Do your market studies before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.
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