Stellar (XLM) has been trading in a shrinking channel since late December 2024. After the December strong rally, the price began to decrease, forming several months lower and lower.
By mid -April 2025, the price of XLM fell from 0.22 to $ 0.24. This area has lasted several times in the past, including a major breakthrough just before November. Again, it acted as a reliable base, XLM bounced over 15% of this low and is now trading about $ 0.2702 during this post.
Currently, the price is pushing the upper limit of the descending channel, which is about $ 0.28 to $ 0.29. This zone has been resisted several times in the past and again it exerts pressure on the price. Today's daily candle shows the rejection at the peak, which signals possible sales at this level.
So, this is Stellar's key. If the price does not reach more than $ 0.29, it may fall back to the lower part of the channels. However, if the price of Bitcoin continues to show strength, currently with about $ 94,000, a pure breakthrough can trigger a bullish shift.
With all this in mind, we asked Chatgpt to predict where XLM's price in May could go next in May. Here is what it suggested:
Pessimistic scenario: $ 0.22 – $ 0.24
With a crisp result, XLM is rejected at $ 0.29 and falls back in the lowest side of April. Weak volume, bitcoin watering less than $ 85,000 or the lack of meaningful developments in the Stellar ecosystem can send a price of $ 0.22-20.24. If this zone breaks, the next probable target will receive $ 0.20.
Read also: Ask AI to predict Ripple (XRP) price in May
Realistic scenario: $ 0.30-0.32
If the price of Stellar (XLM) can exceed $ 0.29 with a consistent purchase pressure, it is possible to slowly grind to $ 0.30-0.32. Bitcoin remains stable or gradually climbed, and the use of Stellar USDC and Green Bond tools could support this step. It is a range of ranging, a steady rise if the big momentum does not begin.
Optimistic scenario: $ 0.38-0.42
If Bitcoin goes towards $ 100,000 and XLM confirms of a strong volume of more than $ 0.30, the rally can reach much further. Strong titles around the growth of Stellar's company, peer-to-peer-energy settlements, or new tochenization pilots can bring new demand. In that Case, XLM price can rise at $ 0.38 or even $ 0.42, levels have not been seen since the beginning of 2022.
May may be a breakthrough for Stellar if it deletes $ 0.29 wall. But as long as it stays inside the channel, the support zone of $ 0.22-0.24 is still as important as resistance. As Bitcoin is the headlines of play and adoption, traders should monitor both levels closely.
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