Howard Lutnick says Trump’s tariffs will create ‘great jobs of the future’—fixing factory robots. Labor experts disagree

• The future of labor provides maintenance for automatic factory technologyCommerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said CNBC. He stated that the growth of manufacturing in the US as a result of President Donald Trump's tariffs would pour out many jobs in the form of factory work. Labor experts are not desirable about growing and maintaining these jobs.

Commercial Secretary Howard Lutnick saw a positive byproduct of President Donald Trump's tariff plan: A “Renaissance making“In the US that will lead to the next three generations of Americans holding factory jobs.

Inirerekomenda ni Trump ang mga matarik na taripa sa kanyang mga unang araw na bumalik sa opisina, na nag-crack sa mga import mula sa China, Vietnam, at iba pang mga capitals ng pagmamanupaktura, sa isang pagtatangka na bumuo ng mga sentro ng produksiyon at magbigay ng mga kadena sa US Lutnick na iminungkahi ng isang pagtaas sa gawaing pabrika-na pinagbigyan ng awtomatikong robotic labor-ay magbibigay ng isang pagkakataon para sa mga manggagawa sa Amerikano na makahanap ng matatag at Great paying jobs, starting at $ 70,000 to $ 80,000 per year.

“It's time to train people not to do the jobs of the past, but to do great jobs in the future,” Lutnick said CNBCThe “exchange” Earlier this week. “This is the new model, where you work with this kind of plants for the rest of your life, and your kids are working on it, and your grandparents are working on it.”

Robots are starting to hit production lines. US automakers have installed nearly 10% more robots in factories this year than last year, according to the Trade Group International Federation of Robotics. Hyundai Motor Group, for example, Got Robotics Company Boston Dynamics for $ 1.1 billion in 2021.

Increasing automation will provide opportunities for entrepreneurs – particularly people in the community college or for people who decide not to pursue higher education – to be highly accustomed, according to Lutnick.

“You should see an auto plant,” he said. “It is quite automatic, but the people – the [4,000] Or 5,000 people working there – they are trained to take care of robotic arms. They are trained to maintain air conditioning [going]. “

A commercial department spokesman said Fate The agency focuses on returning to the course of manufacturing jobs leaving the US. Since 1979, the country has lost 6.5 million manufacturing jobs due to outsourcing and previous policies, people said.

“Secretary Lutnick is dedicated to the revival of critical manufacturing in the United States,” the spokesman said in a statement.

Many more robots, fewer jobs

But labor experts don't convince the key to more – and better – jobs lies in factory automation. Increased use of industrial robots can have a negative impact on the workforce, according to a 2020 Study From the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Professor Daron Acemoglu. In conjunction with Boston University professor Pascual Restrepo, he calculated that adding a robot for every 1,000 US workers would cause a wage decline of 0.42%, and the work-to-population ratio dropped by 0.2%. These small percentages are increasing, worth the US about 400,000 jobs to this day, according to the study.

As robots increase factory efficiency, it comes to cost – not the addition – of factory jobs, the study shows.

“Our evidence shows that robots increase productivity,” Acemoglu said to a Interview at MIT Sloan School of Management. “They are very important for continuous growth and for companies, but at the same time they are destroying jobs and they reduce labor demand. The effects of robots also need to be considered.”

The role of unifying

Eric Blanc, a professor of studying Labor and Rutgers University Labor, has argued beyond the theoretical idea of ​​creating more factory jobs, need to consider the quality and maintenance of those jobs.

“The reason people associate factory jobs with good jobs and have this nostalgic view of American manufacturing birthday in the 1950s, when you can have a breadwinner that provides for the whole family – that's the unionization product,” Blanc recently said Fate.

While a wave of unionization efforts in the 1930s and '40s created regulations and standards for factory jobs that would favor American workers, the Trump administration was decided to be anti-union, Blanc said. In late March, Trump signed a Executive order Directing federal agencies to stop collective bargaining at federal unions, an action restrained by a federal judge.

If there are no factory unions, workers will be subject to 12-hour days, lower wages, and the possibility of injury. A 2016 UC Berkeley Center for Labor Research and Education Study Found one-third of US manufacturing workers rely on a government assistance program such as sealing foods, and pay for manufacturing jobs are caught in non-labor jobs.

“Only the promise of more factory jobs will not restore prosperity,” Blanc said.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com