Bitcoin in the first months of 2025 in the first months of near Bene Rifugio Grows.
Bitcoin exceeds $ 95,000: durable performance in a crisis context
Its BTC value Almost $ 95,000, celebrating the best weeks from November 2024.
Despite the difficult start of the year and the strong commercial tensions created by the Trump Administration's new tariff policies, the world's leading cryptocurrency has shown a Surprising durabilityTo.
After experience in the first months of the year, Bitcoin returned positively in 2025, reaching about 1.5% compared to 31 December.
Although Bitcoin has increased by about 24% over the same period as gold growth, Bitcoin has clearly stood out with the Nasdaq 100 index, which is less than 7%.
Correlation between Bitcoin and Gold is growing: Recent data
According to analyzes carried out with a 30-day sliding average, Bitcoin has reached a positive correlation 0.70 with gold. For comparison, the connection to the Nasdaq 100 is weaker, correlated with only 0.53.
The correlation coefficient scale is between 1 (perfect positive correlation) to -1 (perfect negative correlation). Therefore, current data show that Bitcoin is increasingly behaving like a safe shelter, separating itself from the behavior of highly volatile equipment.
This trend strengthens the resulting narrative that sees Bitcoin as a speculative asset not so much technology, but rather closer to the concept of “digital gold”.
New US-China Tariffs and Economic Impact: Bitcoin role
The current global economic situation has been strongly shaken by the strengthening of tariffs established by President Trump on Chinese products, which has risen up to 145%earlier this month. These measures have led to a sharp decline in demand for international freight transport, increasing uncertainty in the markets.
According to various reports, major US retailers, like Walmart, have begun to show potential future delivery problems, even referring to the return to dynamics, similar to those observed in the most critical period of the cozy-19 pandemic.
In this scenario, Bitcoin has confirmed its status, which is less sensitive to traditional economic cycles, recording a weekly growth of 10% last week – the best result after Trump's election win in November 2024.
Bitcoin as “Digital Gold”: Concrete signs of market maturation
Over the years, the idea of digital replacement material for Bitcoin has achieved the idea of the digital replacement material, but it is only recently that data that have recently seemed to be fully confirmed by this thesis. In front of macroeconomic shocksThe volatility of the stock market and the international trade tensions seem to now appear to react with dynamics that are similar to traditional gold.
In addition, the fact that Bitcoin has been able to achieve a significant recovery, despite the fact that they do not benefit from traditional fiscal murders or adaptive monetary policies, further its gradual independence as assets.
Despite some structural differences between bitcoin and gold – such as liquidity, market time and risk perception – it is difficult to ignore that for many investors, Bitcoin is now considered a credible hedge inflation and geopolitical tensionsTo.
Durability factors: Why Bitcoin retains its strength
Different dynamics have contributed to the recent strength of Bitcoin:
- Diversification of investors: More and more institutional investors have balanced their portfolios, involving cryptocurrency shares.
- Reducing correlation with technical stock: Bitcoin has lost some of its nature as a high beta-asset, reducing correlations with volatile technology.
- Consolidated “Bene Rifugio” narrative: Unfavorable macroeconomic events have accelerated Bitcoin recognition as a defense.
However, it should be emphasized that Bitcoin retains significantly higher volatility than gold. Further economic developments – such as further increases of tariffs, changes in interest rates or new geopolitical tensions – can still cause rapid changes in market trends.
Bitcoin towards the future: opportunities and risks
Bitcoin's recent behavior opens up new perspectives on this evolution as an investment tool. Unlike the early days, when cryptocurrency was mainly considered to be speculative assets, it now establishes itself as a serious opportunity to protect capital during periods of global uncertainty.
Looking at the future, it is important to monitor whether this high correlation with gold is consolidated in the middle or in the long run or returns with more speculative sectors in the market.
In any case, Bitcoin's performance refers to the Trump Administration and in the midst of a trade war with China that cryptocurrency and especially Bitcoin could play an increasing role within the most advanced investment strategies.
