Kaspa at a Major Crossroad Again: Volatility Expected — Where is Price Headed Next?

The Kaspa graph (KAS) flashes a serious warning sign for bulls and bears. After a long period of lateral movement and failure failure, Kas returned to test a familiar level. The price now oscillates approximately $ 0.095, which places it just below the psychological and technical barrier at $ 0.10. This is the area that has actually been a solid support and a firm resistance for a few weeks.

What is happening here could shape the next few months for the Kaspa price. Successful recovery from the $ 0.10 zone could bring back an upward momentum and even send the price to the $ 0.15 or $ 0.20 area.

But if it is rejected again, the structure could confirm a deeper drop, possibly establish a greater correction. The graph shows a clear divergence and the market awaits confirmation.

Why the level of $ 0.10 counts

According to Daily kaspaIt is not only a simple resistance test. The graph shows signs of what could be a Wyckoff distribution model. This model is a classic framework used to describe how large investors distribute their assets after a prolonged rise. The structure includes phases where the price becomes flat, then simulates the crowd with a gathering before decomposing suddenly.

In the case of Kaspa, the price experienced an agitated range in 2024, reaching several ups and downs without making real escape. This beach could represent phase B of the distribution. The brief escape greater than $ 0.14 which quickly failed could have been UTAD, the increase after distribution, which generally encourages buyers to enter before the market decreases.

Ventilation less than $ 0.10 earlier in 2025 may have marked the start of phase D, where the sale pressure increases. If this is correct and we are now in phase E, a decisive rejection at $ 0.10 would confirm that a larger downward trend has already started.

Kaspa prices at a crossroads: an overview of the perspective of Wyckoff's theory. 🧵👇

1 / The Wyckoff method is a proven framework used to understand how the markets move through the accumulation, distribution and trend phases. He focuses on the behavior of supply and demand and helps … pic.twitter.com/j8hwp8llpy

– Kaspa Daily (@dailykaspa) March 9, 2025

But there is a setback in history. Wyckoff's method also includes the possibility of reaggulationWhere the market stops during a global upward trend. In this case, the same beach structure may appear, but the result is very different.

Instead of distribution, the range would be an area where long -term buyers quietly accumulate more tokens before another gathering. In this scenario, the shakeout below $ 0.10 would be part of the C phase, designed to eliminate weak hands. A successful recovery of $ 0.10, followed by a strong price share, suggests that we have passed in phase D of the reactuction, where buyers are starting to intervene aggressively.

The volume adds another layer to the image

The volume profile on the Kaspa graph adds more information. During ventilation less than $ 0.10 earlier this year, there was a clear increase in volume. This decision could represent the sale of panic in a distribution phase or a forced shake in a reactive phase.

Read also: how high can Kaspa (Kas) go this bull race? The analyst weighs

Since then, the volume has remained high but less aggressive. If Kas recovers the zone of $ 0.10 with a high volume, it would be a strong sign in which buyers retreat. But if it stores an increasing sales volume, this could be the final confirmation of the additional decline.

So now everything comes down at that time. Kaspa's price is sitting on the edge. Bulls must recover $ 0.10 convincingly, or the downstream thesis becomes much more difficult to deny. Anyway, volatility is likely to climb soon. The only question is whether the move will be lifted or downwards.

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