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GBP/USD rebounds despite strong US NFP report, market doubt immediate Fed cuts

  • The US was adding 177K work in April, beating the forecasts but the trailing revised March of 185k.
  • Trump insists on cutting rates, even if data can delay policy transfer until July.
  • UK manufacturing contracts of PMI; Boe saw 25 bps cutting rates next week.

Pound Sterling (GBP) progresses for the first time in the last four days and has been bouncing off weekly lows against the greenback, though an upbeat job report on United States (US) reduced fear of a backward economy. However, the US dollar (USD) failed to acquire land, as described by GBP/USD Trading at 1.3321, up to 0.39%.

GBP/USD has fallen while avoiding US-China tensions will weigh dollars despite increasing NFP and factory orders

Positive News on goods Enhanced Risk appetite As China-US tension is easing and weighing the US dollar. April's US Nonfarm Payrolls Rose by 177K, who exceeded 130K forecasts, even though they were undeniable to the downward March of 185 K. The unemployment rate stood at 4.2%, and data could refuse the Federal Reserve (FED) from cutting interest rates.

After the data, US president Donald Trump has requested that the Fed lower rate through a post on his social network.

Other data from the US revealed that factory orders in March rose 4.3% month to the month, from 0.5% last month but slightly less than 4.5%.

In the UK, the latest S&P manufacturing report has revealed the impact of the tariff on the economy, as the PMI contracts for the seventh month in April. Next week, the Bank of England (BOE) is expected to deliver a 25 basis of score (BPS) rate cut, according to swaps markets.

Therefore, the GBP/USD may undergo pressure because the difference in interest rates between the US and the UK may benefit from the former because the Fed is expected to lower rates until the July meeting.

GBP/USD Price Forecasting: Technical Perspective

GBP/USD seems to form a 'bullish harami' two-candle chart Pattern, indicating that there is some acceptance for higher prices. However, the pair must exceed May 1 as high as 1.3345 to confirm the pattern, and bulls can push the price of the area to 1.3400. A violation of the latter will expose the annual-date (YTD) high 1.3443.

Conversely, if the GBP/USD slides under 1.33, the key support levels will be exposed. The first is the 1.3200 mark, followed by 1.3100 figures and the 50-day simple transfer of average (SMA) to 1.3004.

British Pound's price this week

The table below shows the percentage change of the British Pounds (GBP) against the listed major currencies this week. The British Pound is the strongest against Japanese Yen.

USD EUR Gbp Jpy Cad Aud Nzd CHF
USD 0.03% -0.03% 0.35% -0.65% -0.99% -0.19% -0.60%
EUR -0.03% -0.12% 0.31% -0.70% -1.11% -0.23% -0.65%
Gbp 0.03% 0.12% 0.44% -0.56% -1.01% -0.11% -0.52%
Jpy -0.35% -0.31% -0.44% -0.97% -1.30% -1.93% -0.69%
Cad 0.65% 0.70% 0.56% 0.97% -0.47% 0.46% 0.06%
Aud 0.99% 1.11% 1.01% 1.30% 0.47% 0.90% 0.48%
Nzd 0.19% 0.23% 0.11% 1.93% -0.46% -0.90% -0.41%
CHF 0.60% 0.65% 0.52% 0.69% -0.06% -0.48% 0.41%

The heat map shows the percentage change of basic currencies against each other. The base currency is taken from the left column, while the quote currency is taken from the top row. For example, if you choose the British pounds from the left column and move to the horizontal line in the US dollar, the percentage change shown in the box represents GBP (Base)/USD (quote).

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