Key Takeaways:
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Based on the trends of the electric curve, Bitcoin could hit $ 200,000 in Q4 2025.
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Bitcoin follows the gold price trend with 100-150 days lag.
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) rallied 11% this week, its best weekly return in 2025 and its highest seven-day growth since early November 2024. Bitcoin also reached $ 95,000 on April 25 for the first time since February. 24.
21st Capital Co-Founder Sina mentioned Bitcoin has reclaimed the price of power-law. The predictable accuracy of Power Law is derived from the growth of the Bitcoin network following Metcalfe's law, where the scales value in the square of users.
Based on the Bitcoin volume model, the power-law price reclaiming the BTC on the track to hit a target price of $ 130,000 and $ 163,000 before the end of 2025.
As described in the chart, Bitcoin is currently in the “transition” range, where BTC accumulation occurs. When it is damaged in the “Acceleration” zone, the crypto asset enters 33% to 66% of the rally, which gradually targets $ 106,000, $ 130,000, and $ 163,000 over the next few months.
However, Bitcoin's unidentified APSK32 analyst predicted The BTC's target price could be as high as $ 200,000 in 2025. The prediction was based on “Bitcoin Power curve time contours,” which overlay Bitcoin price overlay throughout the four -year cycle (2013, 2017, 2021, and 2025). The chart suggests a strong performance in the Q3 and Q4 of 2025, with the analyst noticing that the historic four -year cycle of Bitcoin remains intact. The analyst said,
“Looking at the two-year segments centered today, 4, 8, and 12 years ago. Price scale was carried out using the curve strength. Expect $ 200,000+ Bitcoin to Q4. Gold suggests that we can be higher.
Related: 5 Charts of Bitcoin prediction
Gold-bitcoin lag can repeat the Q4 rally
Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin and Gold have posted new highs on the market, with each asset mainly at certain times.
As described on the chart, Bitcoin and Gold achieved new highs between March and August 2024. However, in Q3 2024, gold led the rally, which exceeded Bitcoin's performance. Through the Q4, Bitcoin recovered momentum, which exceeded the precious metal and maintained its lead until March 2025, when the gold was leading again.
Gold is still leading the BTC but dropped 6% from hitting new highs, while Bitcoin gained 11%. Cointelegraph reported that the BTC tends to follow the gold bias direction with a lag of 100-150 days. Based on that narrative, it is possible that bitcoin can lead to gold in the coming weeks.
Similarly, the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped to a new three-year-old April 21, which further fuel the possibility of a rally for risk properties. Cointelegraph reports that multi-year DXY lows have become bullish history for Bitcoin. CRYPTO ANALYST 'VENTURE FOUNDER' ALSO taught,
“Traditionally, the DXY coming down is very Bullish for $ BTC, we have a massive Bearish divergence for DXY, which may suggest that it will go to 90. The last 2 times it has been a bitcoin parabolic bull run in the final stage of the Bull Market (lasting 12 months).”
Related: Bitcoin spikes in 7-week high as analyst doubt with $ 100K rebound
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every transfer of investment and trading involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when deciding.
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