The US Treasury yield was high on Monday as investors focused on Wednesday's Fed political meeting. The 10-year return remained three base points higher-4.351%, while the 2-year return increased to 3.843%.
Investors are waiting on Wednesday to reduce interest rate CME Fedwatch tool Data indicating the likelihood of a 25-base point and a 34.5 % probability of a 50-base point cut. The yield of the treasury shows the market and their persistent nature refers to optimism.
The 10-year-old Treasury's return will rise before the FED policy meeting
The US 10 -year -old Treasury Note on Tuesday rose by three base points to 4.37%, noting its highest level. Investors are closely monitoring trade tensions when they are waiting for the FOMC meeting tomorrow.
At one point, a 10-year-old return even moved back above the Fed Fund interest rate, turning the curve effectively, while the 2-year return rose at the Fed Funds interest rate, assessing each year's interest rates. Since then, a 2-year-old harvest has fallen during clear growth … pic.twitter.com/3rwtorzica
– Apex Macro Research (@apm_researre) May 4, 2025
Fed is expected to reduce tariff inflation to slow down and improve the economy. Markets follow any signal for future politics and the central bank's assessment of President Donald Trump's economic impact on economic policy.
Trade negotiations between Asian countries and the US are expected to be returned this week. ISM Services report showed a sudden expansion of activity and cost pressure by confirming the strength viewed in last week's job report.
The market is involved even when trading slows down the working day due to future Treasury auctions, including $ 70 billion with five -year bonds. Possible cuts of Fed interest rates showed a change in monetary policy from the fight against inflation to the economic strengthening. Moving reflects global trends where central banks focus on economic stimulation.
The official data of the government showed the minimum impact on the entire growth of the internal product. The first quarter figures showed that companies that rushed to import goods before President Donald Trump ended.
Soft data, such as consumer and businesses, have fallen sharply compared to complex economic data that significantly reflect the effect of tariffs. Fed is in standby mode whose assets and investor expectations of monetary policy fluctuate every day without real prospect data.
Fed should reduce interest rates to reduce the pressure rates to reduce the pressure of Trump Powell to reduce interest rates
The FOMC meeting reaches Trump's attempts to put pressure on FED lower tariffs. The US President has challenged the Central Bank's executive branch, where the White House may at some point shooting Powell.
The President attacked a Fed chair when the markets fell last month, saying he could trigger him. He added that Powell wants to challenge the central bank's political independence and undermine the credibility of inflation struggle.
The US President supported threats after the recovery of stock prices; However, his administration is the pressure of the central bank to alleviate the policy. Scott Bessent, secretary of the Treasury, revealed that the decline in the last month's treasury yield signaled the market that Fed would not reduce Trump's pressure, despite the pressure.
When Trump labeled employment data on Friday, he said Fears of inflation are incorrectly placedTo. Powell and other policy makers have emphasized that they are in no hurry to react because inflation exceeds their 2% goal.
China revealed on Friday to explore the possibility of starting trade with the United States a statement The Ministry of Commerce showed that US officials turned several times through the respective parties to start the tariff lounges.
The statement also revealed that if the US agreed to talk, it should show sincerity and be prepared to correct the lies previously seen and cancel the unilateral tariffs.
According to the Chinese authorities, the removal of all unilateral tariffs would further impair falsified mutual trust over the years between the two countries. China's current countermeasure tax is 125% compared to 145%
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