- The non -enlarged payroll in April beaten the consensus at 177K; The unemployment rate is standard at 4.2%, which attenuated recession problems.
- Trump pressures have been fed to reduce rates despite optimistic data; The Cbot shows 88 bps of relaxation at the price.
- Apple and Amazon come across Chinese sales and the slowdown in cloud growth despite the EPS forecasts.
Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) joined more than 600 points, more than 1.65%, following a solid American job report which broke out the fears that the largest economy in the world is linked to a recession. The DOW should end the week with gains of more than 3% and, when writing the editorial's moment, rises beyond the brand of 41,300 after having bounced the lowest 40,658.
Djia gathers in
The non -enlarged American wage bill in April increased by 177K, down compared to the 185k drop in March in March, but exceeding 130K estimates. Earlier in the week, a national report for the LAMBL ADP suggested that companies hired fewer people than the PFN revealed.
In addition, the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.2%, aligned with forecasts, which could prevent the Federal Reserve (Fed) from softening the policy.
Karen Georges, director of action funds at Ecofi in Paris, said: “These good figures are not likely to feed inflation, but that does not change the situation for the Federal Reserve and Jerome Powell.”
President Donald Trump took advantage of the right figures and criticized the president of the Fed, Jerome Powell, in an article on his social network of truth, demanding the lower interest rates of the Fed.
US factory orders in March increased by 4.3% MOM, compared to 0.5% in the previous one but slightly lower than 4.5% planned.
News related to stocks
In the meantime, Apple (Apple) and Amazon (AMZN) shares are down 3.5% and 1%, respectively, the first struck by a lack of sales in China and concerns about prices. Apple revealed its profits for the first quarter of 2025, with a profit per share (BPA) at $ 1.65, higher than $ 1.62 estimates and a turnover of $ 95.36 billion, against $ 94.53 billion expected.
Amazon stocks have decreased as the growth in cloud revenues disappoints. In its T1 2025 profits report, BPA increased to $ 1.59, up compared to $ 1.38 forecasts, and revenues increased by $ 155.7 billion above forecasts of $ 154.88.
Fed should reduce rates
The data from the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) show that the Swaps market is expecting 88 base points of relaxation towards the end of the year, as revealed by the event of federal funds of December 2025.
Dow Jones Price forecast
The Dow Jones remains biased downwards, although traders test the simple 50-day mobile average (SMA) at 41,271. A daily closure above the latter could extend the recovery after the 42,000 figures, the bulls targeting the 200-day SMA at 42,281.
Conversely, if the DOW plunges less than 41,000, the first support would be the 40,000 before the 20 -day SMA of 39,705. Once eliminated, the next support would be on April 23 of 39,486, before April 22 of 39,271, which would fill the gap observed between April 22 and 23.
Dow Jones FAQ
The industrial average of Dow Jones, one of the oldest stock market indices in the world, is compiled with the 30 most negotiated shares in the United States. The index is balanced by the price rather than weighted by capitalization. It is calculated by adding the prices of the actions of the constituents and by dividing them by a factor, currently 0.152. The index was founded by Charles Dow, who also founded the Wall Street Journal. Later, it was criticized not to be representative enough, because it only follows 30 conglomerates, unlike wider clues such as the S&P 500.
Many different factors stimulate the industrial Dow Jones (DJIA). The overall performance of component companies revealed in the profits reports of quarterly companies are the main one. American and global macroeconomic data also contribute because it has an impact on the feeling of investors. The level of interest rate, fixed by the Federal Reserve (Fed), also influences the DJIA because it affects the cost of the credit, on which many companies are highly deposited. Consequently, inflation can be a major engine as well as other measures which have an impact on the decisions of the Fed.
Dow theory is a method for identifying the main trend of the stock market developed by Charles Dow. A key step is to compare the management of the industrial average Dow Jones (DJIA) and the Dow Jones transport (DJTA) and only follow the trends where the two move in the same direction. Volume is a confirmation criterion. The theory uses elements of peak and hollow analysis. Dow theory poses three trend phases: accumulation, when smart money begins to buy or sell; Public participation, when the wider public joins; And distribution, when smart money comes out.
There are several ways to exchange the DJIA. One is to use FNBs that allow investors to exchange the DJIA as a single guarantee, rather than having to buy shares in the 30 constituent companies. A leading example is the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Etf (DIA). DJIA term contracts allow traders to speculate on the future value of the index and options provide the right one, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the index at a predetermined price in the future. The mutual funds allow investors to buy a part of a diversified DJIA shares portfolio, offering exposure to the overall index.
