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Uncertainty from trade policies heightened sharply

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo was talking to a press conference on Thursday, explaining the bank's decision to maintain interest rate at 0.50% for a second consecutive meeting.

Additional quotes

  • The uncertainty from trading policies has increased dramatically.
  • The report combined based on the assumption that prevents interference with the Global Chain chain.
  • Japan's economy is cured moderately, even though some weak motions are visible.
  • Japan's economic growth is likely to be moderate.
  • It is necessary to pay attention to the financial, FX market, Japan's economic impact, prices.
  • BoJ hopes to keep rates in rising if the economy, prices moves the line of hopes.
  • To judge if the perspective is achieved without preconception.
  • Trade policies are announced in each region that are likely to push economies.
  • Expect the underlying inflation to cool down due to tariffs, slow global growth.
  • Economic, price projections can change dramatically depending on how countries deal with US tariffs.
  • The virtuous cycle of wages and prices will continue due to continued lack of labor.
  • Outlook is not as specific as before.
  • The timing of the underlying inflation to achieve a 2% goal is relatively delayed.
  • It is difficult to judge if the possibility of achieving the underlying purpose of inflation, will be flexible to the policy response.
  • If a major change in tariff policy, it will affect the view of the financial policy.
  • The economy has been around the track to this day.
  • The financial policy operations made by controlling short -term rates
  • Our factor of projections in some development of tariff negotiations.
  • The mid-term JGB purchase review will suggest plans after April 2026.
  • 'Not simple' in achieving the underlying target of inflation as usual.
  • Fair value of the possibilities of revising our views based on data.
  • Board members with me generally assume that reward tariffs will not be either intense.
  • Expect US tariffs above the base 10% imposed.
  • There is a high probability of changing our perspective depending on different assumptions and data because the insight is low.
  • There are some degree of possibilities of overshooting prices our central forecast.
  • It is difficult to make a decision today in addressing situations that resemble stagflation.
  • It is difficult to say when the level of uncertainty in tariffs will decrease.
  • The uncertainty around the impact of the tariff on the economy remains high even after the tariffs are finaliszd.
  • We don't have to wait until the winter time bonuses, talking to spring wage will decide anything.
  • It is still considered in ETFs.
  • The US said it wanted to finish tariff negotiations for 90 days, that was a marker.
  • Although US tariffs are decided, the effect is difficult to read.
  • The timing of the next rate of increase can be changed a lot depending on the impact of economic tariffs.
  • Tariffs can negatively affect corporate income, and affect winter bonuses and wage negotiations next year.
  • But that doesn't mean we have to wait for everyone to be clear to make a policy decision.
  • The timing of the trend inflation does not have to be in contact with the timing of the rate increase.

Market reaction

USD/JPY Stays strong bid following these comments. The pair last saw the trade of 0.98% higher during the day near 144.30.

Bank of Japan FAQs

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is the Japanese Central Bank, which sets the country's financial policy. Its mandate is to issue banknotes and make money and financial control to ensure price stability, which means an inflation target of almost 2%.

The Bank of Japan began an ultra-loose financial policy in 2013 to stimulate the economy and inflation of fuel amid a low-inflationary environment. Bank policy is based on quantity and excellent (QQE), or printing notes to buy properties such as government or corporate bond to provide liquidity. In 2016, the bank doubled its approach and further policy loosening through the first introduction of negative interest rates and then directly controlled the yield of the 10-year government bond. In March 2024, the BOJ raised interest rates, effectively withdrawing from ultra-loose financial policy policy.

The bank's massive stimulation caused the yen to remove the main peers. This process was exacerbated in 2022 and 2023 due to an increasing policy variation between the Bank of Japan and other major central banks, which decided to increase interest rates to combat decades of high levels of inflation. The BOJ's policy led to an expansion of the difference -different from other currencies, which dragged the amount of yen. This trend was slightly reversed in 2024, when the BOJ decided to abandon its ultra-loose policy.

A weak yen and the spike in global energy prices led to an increase in Japanese inflation, which exceeds the target of 2% of the BOJ. The rising salaries in the country -a major fuel element that burns -also contributes to the move.

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