Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets can face new peaks when certain scenarios play out, wrote Bitcoin researcher and author Timothy Peterson.
The economist provided an analysis against his bullish forecasting that the BTC could reach $ 135,000 within about three months. A continuing bad or decreasing sentiment can affect the cryptocurrency if things will not improve soon.
Umich consumers' emotion is a bad, trendy inferior, while the AAII investor is 20% bullish, 60% bearing, “huge salmon and also trendy,” he is worse, “he is worse,” observedTo.
At the same time, the Naim Equity Exposure index is a respectable 60% allocation to equity, but still significantly less than 80% related to bull markets, “he said.
Three things that could prevent the new Bitcoin ATH.
Thing 1: a poor or decreasing sentiment continues. Umich consumers' emotion is inferior to worse; The feelings of AAII investor are 20% bullish, 60% bear, huge salmon and also more trendy. The same equity exposure index is… pic.twitter.com/aovora1jbb
– Timothy Peterson (@nsquared lava) May 3, 2025
Fed and the risk of events
The Federal Reserve may also affect the prices of Bitcoin, as markets have already estimated about three interest rates in the remaining 2025 years.
“The risks have accumulated in the expectation that the looser monetary policy will return, increasing liquidity and supporting higher repetitive,” he said before adding Bitcoin's recent strength to this forward -looking optimism.
However, if Fed does not fill these cuts, the market story shifts, suffocating these speculative streams.
“For Bitcoin, which blooms in the event of appetite for liquidity and risk, the lack of speed cuts can hold the momentum or even trigger.”
It is expected that Fed will keep prices unchanged on Wednesday, May 7.
Finally, the risk of events or unexpected macro -level shocks, which cannot be predicted in the event of timing or extent, can cause serious disturbances in the financial markets.
“For Bitcoin, these risks pass from conventional forecasting tools and risk models, causing sharp breaks of trendy behavior.”
Peterson gave examples that included nuclear accidents, large -scale terrorist attacks against critical infrastructure, financial systems cyber attacks, another pandemic or massive natural disasters.
Bitcoin behaves under these conditions like 'high beta-assets', 'as indiscriminate sales, access restrictions and temporary narrative collapse', his ', his' saidending the analysis on May 5.
BTC price outlook
Aside from DOOM and gloom, Bitcoin still traded within its range, where he has been for two weeks.
The property has risen below $ 93,750 on Monday at a late trading to take $ 95,000 in Asia during Tuesday morning trading.
The BTC had receded slightly at the time of writing when it exchanged $ 94,380, according to Coingecko.
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